Unbefallen / In-house forecasting
Explore alternate histories. Forecast the future by measuring Uchronia
Building UNB, our in-house forecasting model, through the study of alternate histories and human decisions.
A different approach to forecasting.
Built around decisions.
We study how people decide in uchronia: alternate histories where a historical event took a different turn.
Measured against reality.
The objective: probabilistic forecasts, evaluated against observed real-world outcomes. UNB 0.1 is in development.